Blackjack Probabilities Articles | Casino

By: Richard Bleuze

Blackjack Probabilities

To fully understand the game of blackjack, you must understand and master blackjack odds.

In blackjack you can substantially improve your odds of winning by developing a thorough understanding of the game. Blackjack is a game of skill, and can be played well, as opposed to just being lucky.

Below you will find some information about blackjack odds and probabilities. Try to remember as much as you can from this page. It will help you understand the chances of beating the dealer in a variety of situations. Also, mental mastery of these numbers will enable you to make the best decision since being familiar with the percentages is extremely beneficial when playing.

Blackjack odds and probabilities table:

Hand Value  % of busting 
21                 100% 
20                 92% 
19                 85% 
18                 77% 
17                 69% 
16                 62% 
15                 58% 
14                 56% 
13                 39% 
12                 31% 
11 or less     0%

The casino makes its profit from the fact that players who bust lose immediately, even if the dealer goes on to bust as well. Regardless of how favorable the blackjack rules might be in a particular casino, this one aspect always gives the house an edge. Keep in mind this edge is significantly lower than in most games, and for this reason blackjack continues to be one of the most popular games.

By using correct blackjack basic strategy, you can turn the casino edge in blackjack from 7%-8% down to 0.5%. If you correctly use advanced card counting techniques, you can often change blackjack odds and give yourself the advantage over the casino. Manipulating the house odds to your favor is the reason most casinos don't allow card counters to play blackjack.

Remember, it is very important to understand basic blackjack strategy if you want to increase your chances of being a successful blackjack player. Have a look at our Blackjack Strategy page for a useful and easy-to-follow rundown.

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