Knowing Winning Percentages Of Dealers In Blackjack Articles | Casino

By: Richard Bleuze

Knowing Winning Percentages Of Dealers In Blackjack

Blackjack is a casino game that is popular with many casino gamblers.  It can be said that blackjack basic strategy is based on the mathematics of the game.  Blackjack has been tested and refined through computer simulations.  Knowing the winning percentages of dealers in blackjack is known and played correctly it reduces the house edge to the minimum, which is usually about one-half of a percent.  When you use blackjack basic strategy, you make your decision to "hit", "stand" or "double down" based on your two cards and the dealers up card.  Thus, knowing the winning percentage of dealers will improve your blackjack game.  Many blackjack players wonder what percentage of time the dealer will bust based on their up card.

Remember, whenever your hand or the dealer’s hand goes over the total of 21 it is called a bust.

When you play blackjack, you know the value of your two cards and you know the value of the dealer’s up card.  You do not know what the dealer’s hole card is and you do not know what the next card out of the shoe will be.  However if you use blackjack basic strategy, including knowing winning percentages of dealers in blackjack, when you play you can make an accurate decision based on just the information that you do know.

As a rule, the dealer will bust more often with certain up cards than with others.  Know the chart below to know winning percentages of dealers in blackjack and which cards you should be looking for the dealer to play.  By knowing the chart below, you will see that the worst cards for the dealer are the 5 and 6 followed closely by the 4.  When the dealer is showing a 5 or a 6, you will know that the dealer has a 42 percent chance of busting.  And the dealer has a 40 percent chance of busting when they have a 4 showing.  This is why you should double down when the dealer is showing a 4, 5 or 6.

On the other hand, the cards where the dealer is least likely to bust are the Ace, 10 and 9.  When the dealer has one of these cards showing, they also have another advantage since the player has to act first.  In addition, according to blackjack basic strategy, a player with a hand of less than 17 will need to take a hit when the dealer is showing a 7 - 8 - 9 - 10 or ace.  Thus, in this situtation the player might lose the hand even if the dealer also busts so the percentage of times the house will win is greater than just the bust percentage shown in the chart.

You will make more money when the blackjack dealer is showing a card that will allow you to double down, however you must follow the rules of blackjack basic strategy. Many blackjack players will double down with a hand of 7 or 8 against a dealer showing an up card of 5 or 6.  This is often not correct for the blackjack player to do, even though the dealer will bust 42 percent of the time, since you will lose more money if you do not play according to blackjack basic strategy.

Knowing winning percentages of dealers blackjack hand is useful information.  However, knowing the winning percentages of dealers blackjack hand should just be used to confirm the decisions you make when you play blackjack basic strategy.  Knowing winning percentages of deals blackjack chart should be memorized.  By doing this, you will be playing blackjack with the lowest house edge possible.

Blackjack Dealer Bust Percentages
Dealer Card   2         3        4         5         6         7         8         9        10        Ace
Bust %            35%   37%   40%   42%   42%   26%   24%   23%   23%    17%

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